One useful takeaway
- The WMO predicts with near 100% certainty that the current El Nino will persist through February 2027.
ARTICLE PREVIEW
Gist The World Meteorological Organisation WMO has forecast with near-absolute certainty that an ongoing El Nino phenomenon will intensify and persist until at least February 2027 . Fuelled by exceptionally warm Pacific Ocean temperatures, this prolonged event is projected to be the strongest in recorded history, significantly altering global weather patterns. For civil services aspirants, understanding this anomaly is crucial as it disrupts standard models of climate forecasting and highlights the escalating risks of global extreme weather events. Background El Nino is a recurring climate pattern characterised by the anomalous warming of sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean . The phenomenon is fundamentally driven by the weakening of prevailing trade winds , which normally push warm surface waters westward. Historically, this climatic cycle occurs every two to seven years and typically dissipates within a span of up to 12 months . A standard El Nino event alters atmospheric circulation, leading to severe disruptions such as intense rainfall and droughts across Latin America , and extending globally to influence typhoons, monsoons, and ambient temperatures. Key Pointers Anomalous Duration: While…
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